We are talking about an increase in income tax from 20 to 25% from 2025. The impact of the change in legislation will depend on how the state manages additional revenues, the scientists explained.
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In all three RAS scenarios, income growth is offset by a reduction in private investment. The first forecast assumes that the authorities will direct money to provide goods and services to the population at non-market prices at the expense of the budget. In the second, the funds will be used to increase public investment, in the third – to finance the treasury deficit.
In all forecasts, changes may lead "to a slowdown in labor productivity and an increase in tension in this market," experts say.
Note, according to the Ministry of Finance, the innovation can bring 1.6 trillion rubles to the budget of the Russian Federation in 2025 and about five trillion for the period from 2025 to 2027.
Recall that last week the government submitted amendments to the draft law on the tax system to the State Duma. They included the expansion of preferences for the IT industry, the replacement of the resort fee with a tourist tax, and other provisions.
