The volume of investments in commercial real estate in Russia may decrease by a third by the end of 2025

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The volume of investments in commercial real estate in Russia may decrease by a third by the end of 2025
February 11th. /MEDIA TALK/. According to estimates by the consulting company Nikoliers, investments in this segment will amount to 550-600 billion rubles, which is 34-46% lower than in 2024. NF Group analysts predict an even more serious drop - by 40-60%, to 500-700 billion rubles.

Kommersant writes about this today. The main factors constraining investments were the high key rate of the Central Bank, which reached 21%, which, according to experts, makes debt financing practically inaccessible. In addition, the market is experiencing a shortage of high-quality facilities, as a significant part of investments (about 35%) is directed to the construction stage, and there is not enough ready-made space for purchase.


Photo: ru.freepik.com

Another problem was the reduction in supply caused by the withdrawal from the market of foreign companies and funds that had previously actively invested in Russian real estate. Experts believe that the situation may stabilize after 2025, when the key rate starts to decrease. However, up to this point, investors will have to work in conditions of limited opportunities and increased risks.

Earlier, we wrote that in December 2024, there was a 70% reduction in the volume of mortgage loans compared to the corresponding period in 2023.
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